Comments on: Balancing Caution and Opportunity Costs http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/ Stocks, charts, risk management & coffee Fri, 30 Jul 2010 08:26:54 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: chartsandcoffee http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1183 chartsandcoffee Tue, 02 Feb 2010 16:57:13 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1183 What makes many longer term bearish (next few years) is that many of those jobs (home building, brokers, mortgages) are directly tied to the credit market and the credit market will simply not be as large as it was during the boom years.<br><br>Good point on how much time it took. Good news for the market is that it didn't have trouble rallying in the early 80s in spite of your data. Bad news is that it might be because things were so bad in the 70s. What makes many longer term bearish (next few years) is that many of those jobs (home building, brokers, mortgages) are directly tied to the credit market and the credit market will simply not be as large as it was during the boom years.

Good point on how much time it took. Good news for the market is that it didn't have trouble rallying in the early 80s in spite of your data. Bad news is that it might be because things were so bad in the 70s.

]]> By: chartsandcoffee http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1888 chartsandcoffee Tue, 02 Feb 2010 16:57:13 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1888 What makes many longer term bearish (next few years) is that many of those jobs (home building, brokers, mortgages) are directly tied to the credit market and the credit market will simply not be as large as it was during the boom years.<br><br>Good point on how much time it took. Good news for the market is that it didn't have trouble rallying in the early 80s in spite of your data. Bad news is that it might be because things were so bad in the 70s. What makes many longer term bearish (next few years) is that many of those jobs (home building, brokers, mortgages) are directly tied to the credit market and the credit market will simply not be as large as it was during the boom years.

Good point on how much time it took. Good news for the market is that it didn't have trouble rallying in the early 80s in spite of your data. Bad news is that it might be because things were so bad in the 70s.

]]> By: chartsandcoffee http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1182 chartsandcoffee Tue, 02 Feb 2010 10:57:13 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1182 What makes many longer term bearish (next few years) is that many of those jobs (home building, brokers, mortgages) are directly tied to the credit market and the credit market will simply not be as large as it was during the boom years.<br><br>Good point on how much time it took. Good news for the market is that it didn't have trouble rallying in the early 80s in spite of your data. Bad news is that it might be because things were so bad in the 70s. What makes many longer term bearish (next few years) is that many of those jobs (home building, brokers, mortgages) are directly tied to the credit market and the credit market will simply not be as large as it was during the boom years.

Good point on how much time it took. Good news for the market is that it didn't have trouble rallying in the early 80s in spite of your data. Bad news is that it might be because things were so bad in the 70s.

]]> By: Guest http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1884 Guest Tue, 02 Feb 2010 03:27:57 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1884 Staring at the unemployment chart today I realized reality...the truth. It took 10 years from 1970 to 1980 to get to the peak in unemployment and then from 1980 to 2000 to get back to the 1970 levels.<br><br>There were ups and downs, but from 1970 to about mid-90s you had to really compete for work. <br><br><a href="http://bit.ly/9nXWjj" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/9nXWjj</a> Staring at the unemployment chart today I realized reality…the truth. It took 10 years from 1970 to 1980 to get to the peak in unemployment and then from 1980 to 2000 to get back to the 1970 levels.

There were ups and downs, but from 1970 to about mid-90s you had to really compete for work.

http://bit.ly/9nXWjj

]]> By: Guest http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1890 Guest Tue, 02 Feb 2010 02:09:06 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1890 Did you see that last minute pop above 1087? I think we are setup for a move higher from here.<br><br><a href="http://bit.ly/do4N4e" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/do4N4e</a> Did you see that last minute pop above 1087? I think we are setup for a move higher from here.

http://bit.ly/do4N4e

]]> By: Speculation http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1181 Speculation Mon, 01 Feb 2010 21:27:57 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1181 Staring at the unemployment chart today I realized reality...the truth. It took 10 years from 1970 to 1980 to get to the peak in unemployment and then from 1980 to 2000 to get back to the 1970 levels.<br><br>There were ups and downs, but from 1970 to about mid-90s you had to really compete for work. <br><br><a href="http://bit.ly/9nXWjj" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/9nXWjj</a> Staring at the unemployment chart today I realized reality…the truth. It took 10 years from 1970 to 1980 to get to the peak in unemployment and then from 1980 to 2000 to get back to the 1970 levels.

There were ups and downs, but from 1970 to about mid-90s you had to really compete for work.

http://bit.ly/9nXWjj

]]> By: rosocecasita http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1891 rosocecasita Mon, 01 Feb 2010 20:41:33 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1891 =) Always appreciate the insight! =) Always appreciate the insight!

]]> By: Speculation http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1180 Speculation Mon, 01 Feb 2010 20:09:06 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1180 Did you see that last minute pop above 1087? I think we are setup for a move higher from here.<br><br><a href="http://bit.ly/do4N4e" rel="nofollow">http://bit.ly/do4N4e</a> Did you see that last minute pop above 1087? I think we are setup for a move higher from here.

http://bit.ly/do4N4e

]]> By: rosocecasita http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/comment-page-1/#comment-1179 rosocecasita Mon, 01 Feb 2010 14:41:33 +0000 http://www.chartsandcoffee.com/2010/02/balancing-caution-and-opportunity-costs/#comment-1179 =) Always appreciate the insight! =) Always appreciate the insight!

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